Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.006424 0.007474 0.008715 0.010309 0.012332 0.014856 0.018312
2025-04-13 0.005099 0.006385 0.008075 0.010530 0.014136 0.019480 0.028522
2025-04-20 0.004473 0.005892 0.007903 0.011105 0.016396 0.025497 0.044383
2025-04-27 0.004003 0.005477 0.007688 0.011477 0.018383 0.031967 0.066513
2025-05-04 0.003578 0.005035 0.007317 0.011459 0.019641 0.037721 0.093606
2025-05-11 0.003246 0.004675 0.006999 0.011431 0.020843 0.044077 0.132221
2025-05-18 0.002936 0.004306 0.006598 0.011144 0.021389 0.049214 0.177496
2025-05-25 0.002644 0.003929 0.006125 0.010612 0.021198 0.052252 0.222268
2025-06-01 0.002419 0.003640 0.005767 0.010241 0.021283 0.056325 0.288736
2025-06-08 0.002301 0.003519 0.005700 0.010467 0.022992 0.067548 0.472602
2025-06-15 0.002157 0.003340 0.005497 0.010351 0.023732 0.075929 0.713010
2025-06-22 0.001991 0.003105 0.005162 0.009874 0.023264 0.078753 0.921688
2025-06-29 0.001854 0.002924 0.004936 0.009677 0.023810 0.088516 1.581713
2025-07-06 0.001769 0.002832 0.004879 0.009888 0.025859 0.110580 4.541643
2025-07-13 0.001720 0.002800 0.004940 0.010417 0.029371 0.151663 44.788562
2025-07-20 0.001659 0.002738 0.004930 0.010757 0.032451 0.201933 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001577 0.002629 0.004802 0.010741 0.034083 0.246884 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001503 0.002529 0.004680 0.010715 0.035714 0.303389 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001420 0.002405 0.004492 0.010452 0.036081 0.346173 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001331 0.002261 0.004244 0.009965 0.035072 0.361091 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001257 0.002146 0.004053 0.009624 0.034730 0.392933 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001222 0.002105 0.004034 0.009832 0.037626 0.541163 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001172 0.002031 0.003926 0.009725 0.038656 0.658993 NaN